Webinars
If you are interested in learning more about decision analysis, please watch the following webinars that I have delivered:
- How Accurate of Weather Forecasts Anyway? In this video, I explain the concept of calibration and summarize my study of 13 million probability of precipitation forecasts provided by The Weather Channel. This work was featured by Nate Silver in his book The Signal and the Noise.
- The Pitfalls of Heat Maps. In this video, I demonstrate that heat maps, a popular risk management tool, produce arbitrary risk management recommendations.
- The Great American Pastime: What Baseball Can Teach Us About Decision Making. In this video, I analyze a single half-inning of a professional baseball game and demonstrates how the concepts of decision analysis and decision quality can help us make the right choice every time.
- Climate Change: A Decision Quality Approach. In this video, I illustrate how decision analysis can help bring clarity to one of the most difficult decisions facing us at the present time.