The final map in this section represents the “bottom line” of our gentrification typology analysis combining vulnerability, demographic change, and housing market change. The neighborhoods shown in bright colors are those deemed to be undergoing gentrification, or Continued Loss, under our modified version of the Bates procedure described in the last section. As with vulnerability and housing market change, the general geographical pattern follows the eastern crescent. The stages of gentrification ripple out from downtown Austin, with Continued Loss tracts lying immediately to the east and south, and with (generally) increasingly earlier stages of gentrification as one proceeds away from downtown to the north, east, or south. The yellow, or Susceptible, tracts suggest where gentrification may occur next if it is not yet underway already.
Only two outlier communities are totally disconnected from the swath of Continued Loss and gentrifying tracts in the eastern crescent. One is Brentwood North, northwest from downtown, which registers as Continued Loss. The other is Wood Creek, further northwest from Brentwood North, which is classified as Susceptible. This area contains an unusual pocket of multifamily rental housing, with a high degree of student occupancy—so much so that the University of Texas runs shuttle buses connecting the area to the main campus—in an area otherwise mostly surrounded by high-income, single-family dominated neighborhoods. It is possible that this area resembles student enclaves such as West Campus more than other neighborhoods classified as vulnerable, but further analysis—such as a neighborhood drilldown—would be needed to make such an assessment.
