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  • MISSION STATEMENT The Empirical Macroeconomics Policy Center of Texas (EMPCT) is dedicated to promoting, supporting, and diffusing empirical macroeconomic research Read more 

    ABOUT US
  • Macro Faculty | Affiliated Students | External Affiliates DIRECTORS Olivier Coibion is the Malcolm Forsman Centennial Professor of Economics at The University Read more 

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  • How the Fed Makes Decisions: Disagreement, Beliefs, and the Power of the ChairDecember 22, 2025By Cooper Howes, Marc Dordal I Carreras, Olivier Coibion and Yuriy Read more 

    OPINIONS


OPINIONS | December 22, 2025

How the Fed Makes Decisions: Disagreement, Beliefs, and the Power of the Chair
When the Federal Reserve changes interest rates, the decision is usually announced as if it were the product of a unified voice. The public sees a single policy rate, a carefully worded statement, and perhaps a press conference that generally emphasizes consensus. Yet behind this appearance of unity lies a much messier reality. Read more



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Event Calendar

  • Spring 2026 Macro Conference

    April 23, 2026 - April 24, 2026  
    Legacy Events Center, CBA 3.202

    The Spring Macro Conference, co-hosted with the McCombs School of Business, will take place on April 23–24, 2026. This annual event will feature 12 invited speakers and will attract leading scholars from across the world, expanding UT Austin’s academic reach, creating opportunities for faculty and student engagement, and solidifying The University of Texas at Austin’s reputation as a hub for cutting-edge macroeconomic research.

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  • CMT Expectations Conference

    May 21, 2026
    Glickman Conference Center, The University of Texas at Austin, Rm 1.302B

    EMPCT is pleased to announce that we will be hosting the inaugural California-Michigan-Texas (CMT) Conference on Expectations and Behavior at UT Austin on May 21, 2026. This conference, co-organized by the University of Michigan, UC Berkeley, and UT Austin, will rotate across institutions, beginning this year with UT Austin. We are delighted to welcome Stefanie Stantcheva (Harvard) as the keynote speaker. 

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