May 29, 2026, Filed Under: Working PaperFrom Adoption to Innovation: State-Dependent Technology Policy in Developing Countries EMPCT Working Paper Series No. 2026-0592 pages | PDF Download | PDF in Browser CitationChoi, Jaedo & Younghun Shim, “From Adoption to Innovation: State-Dependent Technology Policy in Developing Countries”, May 2026 Jaedo ChoiThe University of Texas at Austin Younghun ShimInternational Monetary Fund AbstractWhen should policymakers transition from adoption-led to innovation-led growth? UsingSouth Korea’s historical technology-transfer data, we document three facts on adoption:the advantage of backwardness, strategic pricing, and knowledge diffusion. We builda two-country growth model consistent with these facts. As the gap narrows, productivitygains from adoption diminish and adoption fees rise, eroding the effectiveness ofadoption subsidies. Adoption’s contribution to Korea’s TFP growth falls from 31% to 5%,while innovation’s rises from 2% to 24% (1973–2023). Korea’s state-dependent shift fromadoption to innovation subsidies improved welfare by 6.2%. Initially higher tariffs furtherraise welfare by lowering fees.